Who stands to gain from the war in Israel? Put like that, the question seems rather stark considering the human tragedy we are witnessing. However, from Putin to Iran, there are situations that indirectly stand to gain from the serious crisis that has arisen after the Hamas attack. Here are the most popular theses in the media.
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Israel war, who stands to gain
The first consequence of the conflict between Israel and Hamas is the humanitarian tragedy it brings with it. From the economic point of view, we know that the continuation of this crisis can damage the inflation containment process put in place by the EU.
But from a purely political point of view, who gains from the war in Israel? The fact that the war may benefit someone obviously does not mean his involvement in the matter. These are indirect consequences that in a global society are inevitable.
At present the situation is so chaotic that we inevitably travel in the realm of hypotheses and suppositions. Therefore, we certainly do not pretend to give a certain answer to such a complex situation-and we do not know if there ever will be one-but we can review the theses circulating so far in the mainstream national media.
The question of the agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia
First of all, considering that Hamas‘ purpose with the October 7 action still remains difficult to decipher, virtually everyone agrees that one of the main objectives was actually to sabotage the agreement under discussion between Israel and Saudi Arabia, brokered by the United States.
A goal partly achieved considering that the Saudi monarchy has censured ‘the escalation” of violence attributed ‘to the Israeli occupation of the Palestinian territories.”
And to think that only two weeks ago, the Israeli premier had outlined to the UN his idea for a ‘new Middle East with Saudi Arabia and other neighbors,’ and of a ‘new corridor of peace and prosperity’ with the Palestinians.
If the agreement presupposed a détente toward the Palestinians in Gaza, it seems clear that everything now seems blown. Or at least on standby. The first to benefit are the Iranians, who saw their marginalization from the peace process.
Moreover, according to some political commentators, the crisis allows Benjamin Netanyahu to recompose a country that was in turmoil after hundreds of thousands of Israelis protested against the attempted reform of institutions to take away the Supreme Court’s power to review government decisions and even appointments.
It must be added, however, that Netanyahu himself will have to answer for the flaws in the security system.
Less aid for Kiev?
Other commentators also point to the advantage that the crisis in Israel may bring to Russia on the Ukrainian front.
Biden is already grappling with an internal crisis, resources-financial and military-are certainly not endless, so in the event the conflict continues, less NATO and U.S. aid may come to Kiev, some of which is being used for Israel.
“A first tranche of U.S. military aid is on its way to Israel,” U.S. National Security Council spokesman John Kirby has already told Msnbc.
In all this tangle of interlocking situations, one certainty: the losers in this war are of course, always the same.